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The expected growth of agricultural and animal husbandry output value in Brazil is lowered in 2021

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On September 23, the Brazilian Institute of Applied Economics (IPEA) released data, which showed that affected by factors such as the reduction of corn production and the decline of the prospect of the milk industry, the growth expectation of Brazil's agricultural and animal husbandry output value in 2021 was reduced from 1.7% to 1.2%, and that in August was reduced from 2.6% to 1.7%. Thanks to the positive factors such as the expected growth of soybean, corn and other crops next year, the gradual recovery of cattle slaughter after two consecutive years of decline, and the continuous innovation of pork production, the expectation for 2022 is slightly increased from 3.3% to 3.4%, of which the year-on-year growth of agriculture and animal husbandry are 3.9% and 2.2% respectively.


The output growth of major agricultural and animal husbandry products this year is expected to be: in agriculture, soybean, rice and wheat are stable, and the output is expected to increase by 10.1%, 4.3% and 32.9% year-on-year respectively. Affected by the climate, corn, sucrose and coffee will decrease by 15.5%, 3.7% and 21.1% year-on-year respectively. In terms of animal husbandry, the growth of meat production is expected to be lowered from 1.8% to 1.2%, and the output of poultry, pork and eggs is expected to increase by 6.8%, 8.7% and 1.4% respectively year-on-year. The other two types of products with high added value - beef and milk are expected to be - 0.9% and - 0.4% respectively.


Source: Economic and trade window of the Consulate General in Sao Paulo


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